When OpenAI makes a valid announcement of an AI system (see below), I will calculate the case-insensitive Levenshtein distance between the name of that system and each answer above. The market resolves to the answer with the smallest Levenshtein distance, or will split evenly between answers if there is a tie.

Any invalid answers added to this market will resolve N/A. I will extend the market resolution date as needed. I may bet in this market.

Valid OpenAI announcements

To resolve this market, an OpenAI system must be announced on their blog. I will use the exact name in the title of the blog post, or the first appearance of the name within the blog post if it doesn't appear in the title. I will ignore letter case, but any special characters will be counted in the Levenshtein distance calculation.

The name of the AI system must not be directly based on the name of a previous system. For instance, the names GPT-5, MathGPT, DALL-F, or Whisper 2 would not count. The name may be no more subjectively similar than "Geppetto" is to "GPT".

The system itself must also be completely new, not a modified version of a previous system. For instance, a fine-tuned version of GPT-4 named "Pageant" would not count.

Notwithstanding anything I wrote above, an announcement of Q*, Q-Star, or Q Star doesn't count as valid.

Valid answers

Each answer must plausibly be the name in the next valid OpenAI announcement. For instance, "aeiou-" is not a valid answer.

You may add an explanation in parentheses after your answer, which won't count for calculating Levenshtein distance.

Each answer must be added before OpenAI makes their next valid announcement.