This market predicts which world leader will first publicly congratulate Donald Trump if he is declared the winner of the 2024 U.S. presidential election.
Congratulatory messages will be considered valid if issued publicly—through press releases, official social media channels, public statements, or credible media reports—by the end of 2024. It is essential that the messages come directly from the leaders themselves, not from other government officials. The options will be resolved based on reports from reliable sources, including reputable news outlets or official government announcements.
I compared Viktor Orbán tweet with all other contestants, and he was the first to congratulate Trump:
https://x.com/PM_ViktorOrban/status/1854062809304154172