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MANIFOLD
Which world leader will first publicly congratulate Trump if he wins the U.S. presidential election?
5
Ṁ110Ṁ591
resolved Nov 7
100%98.9%Other
0.1%
Vladimir Putin (Russia)
0.1%
Kim Jong-un (North Korea)
0.1%
Nicolas Maduro (Venezuela)
0.1%
Xi Jinping (China)
0.1%
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan (Turkey)
0.1%
Claudia Sheinbaum (Mexico)
0.1%
Justin Trudeau (Canada)
0.1%
Emmanuel Macron (France)
0.1%
Luiz Inácio Lula (Brazil)
0.1%
Mahmoud Abbas (Palestine)

This market predicts which world leader will first publicly congratulate Donald Trump if he is declared the winner of the 2024 U.S. presidential election.
Congratulatory messages will be considered valid if issued publicly—through press releases, official social media channels, public statements, or credible media reports—by the end of 2024. It is essential that the messages come directly from the leaders themselves, not from other government officials. The options will be resolved based on reports from reliable sources, including reputable news outlets or official government announcements.

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bought Ṁ10 YES

I compared Viktor Orbán tweet with all other contestants, and he was the first to congratulate Trump:
https://x.com/PM_ViktorOrban/status/1854062809304154172

No "Other Option" will be added later! If Trump looses, market will be resolved N/A.