If Donald Trump wins the election, will he be the TIME 2024 Person of the Year?
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 2024 US Presidential Election️ PoliticsπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US PoliticsTrumpTIME Person of the Year
Basic
39
αΉ€5.0k
Dec 12
55%
chance

Trump must be directly named. For example, if the Person of the Year is "Donald Trump and J. D. Vance", then this market will resolve to YES. If, however, the Person of the Year is "All Americans", then this market resolves to NO.

If Trump is not the elected president, this market will be resolved as N/A. If he is elected, this market will be renamed to "Will Donald Trump be the the TIME 2024 Person of the Year?".

The close date of this market will be rescheduled to the evening before the Time magazine publishes the name of the Person of the Year (POTY).

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opened a αΉ€5,000 YES at 45% order

Kind of surprised that people think this should be as low as 41%. I've put a M$5k YES limit order on 45%. Feel free to fill it if you disagree πŸ˜‰.

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