Who will be the Democratic Party nominee for president in 2024?
Answer depends largely on whether or not you think Joe Biden is the likely nominee. As of today nobody is challenging Biden, nor has he officially announced he is running for reelection, but there are clear divisions within the party emerging following the release of the Alito abortion opinion. Likely to be noise around this in the coming months as the midterms play out.
Brian Edwards answered
Joe Biden
57%
Brian Edwards answered
Gavin Newsom
7%
Michael Wheatley answered
Kamala Harris
1.1%
Michael Wheatley answered
Pete Buttigieg
0.9%
Add your answer
Brian Edwards answered18 days ago
Joe Biden
57%
Brian Edwards answered18 days ago
Gavin Newsom
7%
Michael Wheatley answered18 days ago
Kamala Harris
1.1%
Michael Wheatley answered18 days ago
Pete Buttigieg
0.9%
General Comments
FWIW, this market exists already as https://manifold.markets/dglid/who-will-be-the-2024-democratic-pre -- but we're always supportive of duplicate markets, eg if you have an issue with the resolution criteria!