Who will be the Democratic Party nominee for president in 2024?
Basic
73
13k
Jul 31
58%
Kamala Harris
22%
Other
16%
Joe Biden
1.7%
Gavin Newsom
1%
Josh Shapiro
1%
Pete Buttigieg
Answer depends largely on whether or not you think Joe Biden is the likely nominee. As of today nobody is challenging Biden, nor has he officially announced he is running for reelection, but there are clear divisions within the party emerging following the release of the Alito abortion opinion. Likely to be noise around this in the coming months as the midterms play out.
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Will this be extended?

FWIW, this market exists already as https://manifold.markets/dglid/who-will-be-the-2024-democratic-pre -- but we're always supportive of duplicate markets, eg if you have an issue with the resolution criteria!