Who will be the Democratic Party nominee for president in 2024?
77
1.2kṀ14kresolved Aug 25
100%98%
Kamala Harris
0.0%Other
0.0%
Gavin Newsom
0.1%
Joe Biden
1.1%
Pete Buttigieg
0.0%
Elizabeth Warren
0.0%
Hillary Clinton
1.3%
Josh Shapiro
0.0%
Bernie Sanders
0.0%
Raphael Warnock
0.0%
Robert Kennedy Jr
Answer depends largely on whether or not you think Joe Biden is the likely nominee. As of today nobody is challenging Biden, nor has he officially announced he is running for reelection, but there are clear divisions within the party emerging following the release of the Alito abortion opinion. Likely to be noise around this in the coming months as the midterms play out.
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FWIW, this market exists already as https://manifold.markets/dglid/who-will-be-the-2024-democratic-pre -- but we're always supportive of duplicate markets, eg if you have an issue with the resolution criteria!