Who will be the Democratic Party nominee for president in 2024?
Plus
77
Ṁ14kresolved Aug 25
100%98%
Kamala Harris
0.0%Other
0.0%
Gavin Newsom
0.1%
Joe Biden
1.1%
Pete Buttigieg
0.0%
Elizabeth Warren
0.0%
Hillary Clinton
1.3%
Josh Shapiro
0.0%
Bernie Sanders
0.0%
Raphael Warnock
0.0%
Robert Kennedy Jr
Answer depends largely on whether or not you think Joe Biden is the likely nominee. As of today nobody is challenging Biden, nor has he officially announced he is running for reelection, but there are clear divisions within the party emerging following the release of the Alito abortion opinion. Likely to be noise around this in the coming months as the midterms play out.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
FWIW, this market exists already as https://manifold.markets/dglid/who-will-be-the-2024-democratic-pre -- but we're always supportive of duplicate markets, eg if you have an issue with the resolution criteria!
Related questions
Related questions
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
2028 Democratic nominee?
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? [limited responses for less lag]
Conditional on their 2024 nominee, will the Democratic candidate for president win in 2028?
Who would win the US Presidential Election, if they were the Democratic Party nominee in 2024 or 2028?
Who will be the next Democratic president of the United States?
Who will be the democratic nominee for president in 2028
Who will be the 2032 Democratic Nominee?