Will SpaceX have launched 3 Starships to space by 2024-09-13?
50
3kแน€34k
resolved Jun 13
Resolved
YES

Criteria for "launching to space" are as follows (the same as this market):

  • Any Starships that make it over 100 km in altitude are counted, even if they don't make it to orbit.

  • Launches that don't make it over 100 km don't count.

  • If the same Starship is launched twice, then it counts twice.

  • If a Starship briefly makes it below 100km and then rises above it again, for example through a skip-reentry, this does not count twice as it's not an additional launch.

  • If a Superheavy is launched over 100km by itself without a Starship, then it counts as a Starship.

Update 2023-11-18: Ok, seems the launch today made it to around 148km, which is over 100km. This market will therefore resolve based on whether 100 km launches happen twice more by 2024-09-13.

Update 2024-03-14: Launch today again made it over 100km. Only one more launch required.

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