Will SpaceX launch at least 3 Starships to space in 2023?
54
1kṀ24k
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO

Any Starships that make it over 100 km in altitude are counted, even if they don't make it to orbit.
Launches that don't make it over 100 km don't count.
If the same Starship is launched twice, then it counts twice.
If a Starship briefly makes it below 100km and then rises above it again, for example through a skip-reentry, this does not count twice as it's not an additional launch.
If a Superheavy is launched over 100km by itself without a Starship, then it counts as a Starship.
2023 ends according to UTC.

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Confirming that we are in fact at 0/3 on this?

@NGK We are. The first flight made it to ~40km or so.

predictedYES

@chrisjbillington Yep, what Chris said

predictedNO

@NGK 1/3 now! Only two more to go in December :D

predictedYES

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If there is a successful launch in April, this will be a good quasi-arbitrage opportunity.

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