Will SpaceX launch at least 3 Starships to space in 2023?
54
378
1K
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO

Any Starships that make it over 100 km in altitude are counted, even if they don't make it to orbit.
Launches that don't make it over 100 km don't count.
If the same Starship is launched twice, then it counts twice.
If a Starship briefly makes it below 100km and then rises above it again, for example through a skip-reentry, this does not count twice as it's not an additional launch.
If a Superheavy is launched over 100km by itself without a Starship, then it counts as a Starship.
2023 ends according to UTC.

three 3 triplet spacex starship steel together glint orbiting earth planetspace curvature reflection fire satellite grain silo
Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ234
2Ṁ119
3Ṁ69
4Ṁ60
5Ṁ55
Sort by:
bought Ṁ1,000 of NO

Confirming that we are in fact at 0/3 on this?

bought Ṁ1,000 of NO

@NGK We are. The first flight made it to ~40km or so.

predicted YES

@chrisjbillington Yep, what Chris said

predicted NO

@NGK 1/3 now! Only two more to go in December :D

predicted YES

(embed)

If there is a successful launch in April, this will be a good quasi-arbitrage opportunity.