Will CA redistrict, and what will be the result?
1
300Ṁ4502030
8%
Redistricts // <20 Republicans over three cycles
8%
Redistricts // 20-23 Republicans over three cycles
8%
Redistricts // 24-27 Republicans over three cycles
8%
Redistricts // 28-31 Republicans over three cycles
8%
Redistricts // 32-35 Republicans over three cycles
8%
Redistricts // >35 Republicans over three cycles
8%
Does Not Redistrict // <20 Republicans over three cycles
8%
Does Not Redistrict // 20-23 Republicans over three cycles
8%
Does Not Redistrict // 24-27 Republicans over three cycles
8%
Does Not Redistrict // 28-31 Republicans over three cycles
8%
Does Not Redistrict // 32-35 Republicans over three cycles
8%
Does Not Redistrict // >35 Republicans over three cycles
This asks two questions:
Will CA redistrict, as determined by /zax/will-california-pass-a-midcycle-red
How many times will a Republican party member be elected to a CA seat in the US House of Representatives in total over the course of the 2026, 2028, and 2030 federal elections.
For context, there are currently 9 Republicans, so if this holds constant, there will be 27 over the course of the next three elections.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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