Will a Chinese Spy Balloon be shot down over the continental US in 2023?
121
2kṀ64kresolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
See ABC / CNN. Must be reported by a major US news outlet to count. The balloon can be this balloon or another, as long as the outlet reports are confident that it is from China.
Close date updated to 2023-02-04 4:02 pm
Close date updated to 2023-12-31 4:02 pm
After consideration, I will not consider any shoot downs where the balloon lands off the coast to count, but I will consider it to count if it lands in a lake or river within US territory.
Some further clarifications in light of recent news: Frozen ocean water will be considered "ocean" and so will not count. Also, dirigibles and any other objects which are primarily supported by buoyancy will be considered balloons.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ1,235 | |
| 2 | Ṁ1,121 | |
| 3 | Ṁ981 | |
| 4 | Ṁ814 | |
| 5 | Ṁ694 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Was the Chinese balloon actually a spy balloon?
79% chance
Will either China or the United States shoot down a manned aircraft belonging to the other one before 2025?
6% chance
Will China sink a US aircraft carrier before 2030?
16% chance
Will an American visit the Chinese space station by the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will China launch a war on the US by 2028?
17% chance
Will a Chinese armed forces pilot defect to Taiwan with their aircraft before 2030?
27% chance
Will there be a cuban missile crisis level incident in the south china sea by end of 2027?
38% chance
Will China bomb any country by the end of 2026?
19% chance