The resolves YES if, by the end of 2023, nodes participating in the Ethereum network are no longer expected to maintain the entire state. See here for more.
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State expiry has been on hold for ~1.5 years now. While we have a feasible proposal (using address space extension with bridge contracts), the extent of change makes it not suitable for mainnet for now. Certainly not 2023, very unlikely 2024.
Source: I co-led the state expiry research effort in late 2021.
@ansgar Thanks for the analysis. I added a 2026-01-01 cutoff for the same question in the market I linked above.
arb https://manifold.markets/BoltonBailey/the-purge-will-ethereum-implement-s (the link here suggests that the two things are likely to be implemented together or not at all)
@BenjaminCosman Yeah, sort of silly that they're classified differently, but I guess Vitalik needed more things to rhyme with "merge".