"The Verge": Will Ethereum use Verkle trees by the end of 2023?
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resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

This market resolves to "YES" if the mainnet L1 Ethereum protocol uses Verkle trees before the end of 2023.

Sep 25, 10:09am: Will Ethereum use Verkle trees by the end of 2023? → "The Verge": Will Ethereum use Verkle trees by the end of 2023?

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Verkle trees have a reasonable chance of being included into the hard fork after Deneb/Cancun, but that hard fork will reach mainnet in early/mid 2024 at the earliest.

arb https://manifold.markets/BoltonBailey/the-purge-will-ethereum-implement-s (the link there suggests that the two things are likely to be implemented together or not at all)

predictedNO

@BenjaminCosman This is no longer the plan. It is a one-way dependency, where state expiry is dependent on Verkle trees, but not the other way around. Given that the state expiry plans are on hold for now, Verkle will most likely move ahead separately.

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