[Metaculus] Will US law deem Ethereum a security before Jan 1, 2030?
7
18
Ṁ281Ṁ150
2030
21%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will US law deem Ethereum a security before Jan 1, 2030?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
The question resolves yes if:
The US Congress passes a law which classifies Ethereum as a security
A federal court decision states that Ethereum is a security
This market is managed by a bot. Once the original question resolves this market should automatically resolve the next time the bot is run. If the original resolved more than a day ago and this question is still open, ping @jskf. I might resolve this N/A if I find out it's a duplicate of an existing question within three days of market creation.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will any cryptocurrency have a higher market cap than Bitcoin on Jan. 1st, 2030?
17% chance
Will the Ethereum L1 use quantum information transmission by 2035?
9% chance
Widespread adoption of cryptocurrency (as currency) by 2035?
23% chance
Will the U.S. government attempt to restrict VPN usage before January 1st, 2030?
35% chance
Will regulation effectively kill decentralized cryptocurrency by the end of 2032?
15% chance
Will any new cryptocurrency become more popular than Bitcoin or Etherium before 2033?
20% chance
Will Ethereum ETF be approved before the January 1st, 2025?
46% chance
[Metaculus] Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025?
11% chance
Will Amazon accept cryptocurrency before December 31st 2033?
45% chance
Will US users be able to buy Ether on Coinbase in 2025?
89% chance