Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will Trump's tariffs using Section 338 hold
3
Ṁ100Ṁ19
2029
22%
chance

On July 20, 2026, President Donald Trump issued three Proclamations pursuant to Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930 imposing 50% tariffs on imports of certain Canadian goods made “in response to Canada’s discriminatory treatment of American products.”:

Resolves no if:

  • these attempts are legally challenged and found illegal,

  • during Trump's term they are rolled back by future actions from with the executive or congress.

If legal action is taken, it is expected this will end up in multiple cases and will take some time to resolve.

I will not bet on this market.

The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!