Resolves YES if Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 presidential elections AND a federal law is enacted that legalizes cannabis or removes criminal penalties for the possession of cannabis for personal use by Tuesday, November 3rd, 2026.
Resolves NO if Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 presidential election AND no federal laws are enacted that legalize cannabis or remove criminal penalties for the possession of cannabis for personal use by November 3rd, 2026.
Resolves N/A if Donald Trump is not elected president in 2024 or if a federal law is enacted that legalizes cannabis or removes criminal penalties for the possession of cannabis for personal use prior to the election on November 5th, 2024.
Sister market:
Update 2025-09-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For this market, "federal law enacted" is interpreted broadly: any nationwide decision that legalizes cannabis or removes criminal penalties for personal possession will resolve YES.
Examples that qualify (must apply nationwide):
Supreme Court ruling
Executive Order
Bill passed by Congress
DEA/FDA decision
1,000@Athena what does "federal law enacted" mean for this market? The modal pathway by which marijuana would be legalized is through executive rule-making re-scheduling marijuana, without an explicit law passed by congress.
@bens
Any decision that applies nation-wide (e.g. Supreme Court ruling, Executive Order, bill passed by Congress, DEA/FDA decision) would be sufficient for me to resolve ‘YES’.
Trump has been softening his stance here considerably and came out in support of the Florida referendum…