By 2030, will a lower percentage of US federal prison inmates be in jail for drug offenses?
8
240Ṁ1462030
68%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves 12/31/2029 based on https://www.bop.gov/about/statistics/statistics_inmate_offenses.jsp
As of 20 April 2024 44.4% of federal inmates are imprisoned on drug offenses, the highest single category by a large margin.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Down slightly in January 2024, to 43.8%.
New market! https://manifold.markets/BlueDragon/by-the-2026-midterms-in-which-categ
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Donald Trump spend any time in prison before 2030?
5% chance
US federal inmate population will increase for what crimes (by 2026 midterms)?
If Trump becomes president, will more people be imprisoned federally for drug offenses?
56% chance
Will more than 0.001% of the world population be incarcerated in 2070?
68% chance
Will there be fewer people executed (death penalty) in the US in 2025 than in 2024?
36% chance
Will the US Federal Government legalize recreational marijuana by 2030?
71% chance
Will psychedelics be decriminalized by the majority of US states by 2030?
22% chance
Compared to 2023, will violent crime in the US decrease in 2024?
81% chance
Will someone in the US be executed for child sex crimes by 2030?
25% chance
Will a majority of states legalize psychedelics by 2033?
18% chance