By 2030, will a lower percentage of US federal prison inmates be in jail for drug offenses?
7
19
Ṁ111Ṁ240
2030
64%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves 12/31/2029 based on https://www.bop.gov/about/statistics/statistics_inmate_offenses.jsp
As of 20 April 2024 44.4% of federal inmates are imprisoned on drug offenses, the highest single category by a large margin.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will the US reschedule cannabis by the end of 2024?
67% chance
Will marijuana be federally descheduled from a Schedule 1 illegal drug in the USA before the end of 2025?
70% chance
Will a nontoxic MDMA-like drug be legally available in the US by 2030?
24% chance
Will marijuana cease to be classified as a Schedule 1 drug under the U.S. Controlled Substances Act by January 1, 2030?
91% chance
Will the US Federal Government legalize recreational marijuana by 2030?
67% chance
Will Brazil decriminalize the recreational use of marijuana by the end of 2026?
72% chance
Will there be fewer people executed (death penalty) in the US in 2024 than in 2023?
54% chance
Will recreational cannabis be federally legalized in the United States by the end of 2024?
24% chance
Will the UK legalise marijuana by 2030?
45% chance
Will more than 1 in 5 US adults use marijuana in a typical month of 2030?
38% chance