Will we see limited progress on global AI governance beyond high-level voluntary commitments in the next 12 months?
10
Ṁ130Ṁ140resolved Oct 11
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Taken from the State of AI Report 2023.
We see limited progress on global AI governance beyond high-level voluntary commitments.
This question will be resolved based on the resolution of the 2024 report.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ27 | |
| 2 | Ṁ18 | |
| 3 | Ṁ12 | |
| 4 | Ṁ5 | |
| 5 | Ṁ4 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will we have a sufficient level of international coordination to ensure that AI is no longer threat before 2030?
22% chance
Will the Global Partnership on AI remain active by the following years? (2031)
34% chance
Will at least 25 nations collaborate to develop and enforce unified AI development standards internationally by 2035?
78% chance
By end of 2028, will there be a global AI organization, responsible for AI safety and regulations?
40% chance
Will any world leader call for a global AI pause by EOY 2027?
80% chance
Will any state or autonomous region switch to AI governance, or majority AI decision making before 2050?
45% chance
Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029?
79% chance
Will a major AI company publish a “responsible scaling policy” for AI consciousness by 2030?
55% chance
AI safety community successfully advocates for a global AI development slowdown by December 2027
12% chance
Before 2028, will there be a major self-improving AI policy*?
74% chance