Will an okay outcome occur for humanity?
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5
Ṁ1022025
26%
chance
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1W
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An outcome is "okay" if it gets at least 20% of the maximum attainable cosmopolitan value that could've been attained by a positive Singularity (a la full Coherent Extrapolated Volition done correctly), and existing humans don't suffer death or any other awful fates.
See:
If the above question resolves to a multiple choice answer, I will resolve this market YES, unless it is an obvious misresolving (95%+ of people disagree with the resolution).
If it resolves NA, or ~everyone agrees it should resolve NA, then I will resolve this market NO.
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