Resolution criteria

• Resolves YES if, by 23:59:59 IST on December 31, 2025, BOTH of the following are true:

  • India’s Department of Telecommunications (DoT) has granted Starlink Satellite Communications Private Limited (SSCPL) a GMPCS authorization under the Unified License and lists SSCPL as a GMPCS licensee. (eservices.dot.gov.in)

  • India’s space regulator (IN-SPACe) has issued market access/authorisation for Starlink’s Gen1 constellation to provide broadband over India. Acceptable evidence includes IN-SPACe’s authorisation as reported by major outlets referencing the IN-SPACe posting. (reuters.com)

• Commercial service launch, spectrum assignment by WPC, trials, pricing, or partnerships are NOT required for YES.

• If the approvals are granted on or before the deadline and later suspended/revoked, this still resolves YES. If only one of the two approvals is in place, resolves NO.

Background

• DoT listed “Starlink Satellite Communication Private Limited” as a GMPCS licensee as of June 10, 2025. (eservices.dot.gov.in)

• IN-SPACe granted final authorisation in July 2025 for Starlink Gen1 (valid until July 7, 2030; specific Ku/Ka/Ku-downlink bands noted), clearing the final regulatory hurdle before spectrum assignment. (moneycontrol.com)

• Remaining step for operations is spectrum assignment; TRAI recommended administrative allocation with a 5-year term and 4% AGR usage fee (policy still being operationalized in mid-2025). (business-standard.com)

Considerations

• India’s “approval” is multi-agency: DoT licensing (GMPCS under UL) plus IN-SPACe authorisation (“landing rights”/market access). This market triggers on those approvals, not on service activation. (dot.gov.in)