Seems like arb with here: https://manifold.markets/nathanwei/will-iran-get-a-nuclear-weapon-befo

If there's a ceasefire and things cool down anytime soon, Iran will likely start pursuing a nuclear weapon program. as a deterrent. A good strategic move if Israel is anywhere near you since it'll attack you either way.

sources:
https://nitter.net/MazMHussain/status/1934370316077367805
https://nitter.net/vali_nasr/status/1934272175692829147
https://nitter.net/mashabani/status/1934057953889575264

@Samaritan insistence on doing this is exactly how Iran ended up here in the first place. That, and a constant stream of death threats. But also actually pursuing it and being flamboyant about all of this... It's like they're a death cult on a terminal trajectory.

@ICRainbow you must have misread, those tweets are about Iran not Israel