If Manifold doesn't deal with duplicate markets, will Joe Biden be president?
3
76
แน21แน110
resolved Dec 29
Resolved
N/A1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Joe Biden wins the 2024 election. Resolves NO if he loses the democratic primary or the presidential election.
Resolves N/A if this market is unsubsidized or otherwise 'dealt with'.
Get แน200 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
It looks like this market has fewer traders and was created after an extremely similar (identical) market, I'm unsubsidizing because Manifold probably doesn't want to subsidize two of the same market.
If you don't agree with this action, you can use your influence points to come up with a new policy.
๐
Related questions
Will Joe Biden win the first debate against Donald Trump? (According to manifold)
55% chance
Will Manifold be more accurate than real-money markets in forecasting the 2024 election?
54% chance
Will the largest manifold market covering the US presidential election correctly predict the outcome of the election?
69% chance
Which Manifold User will create the most markets in 2024?
Will a Manifold user show up in the same picture as Joe Biden before the end of 2024?
46% chance
Will Manifold Markets still exist in 2040?
75% chance
If Biden wins, will Manifold users vote that his performance has been better than they expected by the midterms?
52% chance
Will Manifold allow you to combine markets by the end of 2024?
20% chance
Will any past or current president of the United States create a market on Manifold by end of 2050?
8% chance
Will Donald Trump post a screenshot/link of a Manifold politics market in 2024?
7% chance