
Will Waymo work on highways in 2024?
45
Ṁ1kṀ16kresolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Context:
Waymo is deployed in San Francisco and Phoenix, accepting customers 24/7 throughout the city. It just started to do pickup and drop-offs at select Phoenix Sky Harbor Airport terminals and covers 225 sq miles in Phoenix.
Waymo is finishing up its 5-month tour of testing in LA in early March 2024.
Criteria:
Allow anyone with access to Waymo to take a ride on the highway by December 31st, 2024 (so excluding trusted testers, staff etc)
An announcement doesn't count, you have to be able to book a ride that uses a highway.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ3,158 | |
| 2 | Ṁ565 | |
| 3 | Ṁ296 | |
| 4 | Ṁ280 | |
| 5 | Ṁ172 |
People are also trading
Where will Waymo be available in 2026?
Will Waymo be found at-fault in a vehicle death by the end of 2026?
22% chance
Waymo serves the general public in Washington, D.C. before 2027?
78% chance
Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from LAX airport by the end of 2026?
45% chance
Waymo available in European Union before 2027?
29% chance
How many top-50 US metros will Waymo serve at the end of 2026?
Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from SFO airport *pickup/dropoff/terminal* area by the end of 2026?
53% chance
Waymo serves 8+ cities by end of 2026?
92% chance
How many Waymo robotaxis deployed at the end of 2026?
Will it be possible for me to travel from San Francisco to Lighthaven in a Waymo in 2026?
43% chance
Sort by:
Planned map of San Fran/LA coverage released today: https://x.com/space_colonist/status/1749623343316389896?s=20
Here's the letter to CPUC
They'll likely get highways approved within 4-8 weeks
Aha, looks good now
People are also trading
Related questions
Where will Waymo be available in 2026?
Will Waymo be found at-fault in a vehicle death by the end of 2026?
22% chance
Waymo serves the general public in Washington, D.C. before 2027?
78% chance
Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from LAX airport by the end of 2026?
45% chance
Waymo available in European Union before 2027?
29% chance
How many top-50 US metros will Waymo serve at the end of 2026?
Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from SFO airport *pickup/dropoff/terminal* area by the end of 2026?
53% chance
Waymo serves 8+ cities by end of 2026?
92% chance
How many Waymo robotaxis deployed at the end of 2026?
Will it be possible for me to travel from San Francisco to Lighthaven in a Waymo in 2026?
43% chance