Will the UK descend in to civil war before 2025?
52
1kṀ25kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Inspired by Elon’s tweet here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1819933223536742771?s=46&t=vV_dpuJm1mp8COD4AIOCjg
Resolves to true if there is civil war in the UK before 2025, defined as “a war between organized groups within the same state.”
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ233 | |
| 2 | Ṁ230 | |
| 3 | Ṁ127 | |
| 4 | Ṁ68 | |
| 5 | Ṁ53 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a major war break out in 2025?
45% chance
Will the UK (excluding Northern Ireland) experience major riots in 2025, similar to 2024? (V2)
33% chance
Will the United Kingdom become more authoritarian in 2025?
27% chance
Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?
12% chance
Will any of the following Western countries have a civil war by 2030?
14% chance
Will the US will have a Civil War by the end of 2028?
9% chance
Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years?
9% chance
Will France have a civil war by 2050?
12% chance
Which of these military conflicts will escalate to war in 2025?
Will Pakistan have a major civil war by the end of 2035?
37% chance