Will the UK descend in to civil war before 2025?
➕
Plus
52
Ṁ25k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Inspired by Elon’s tweet here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1819933223536742771?s=46&t=vV_dpuJm1mp8COD4AIOCjg

Resolves to true if there is civil war in the UK before 2025, defined as “a war between organized groups within the same state.”

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ233
2Ṁ230
3Ṁ127
4Ṁ68
5Ṁ53
Sort by:
bought Ṁ101 NO

I wonder whats the actual probability though... 0.1%, 0.01%..

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules