will Randall Munroe publish "what if 3" book by 2030
9
170Ṁ298
2030
88%
chance

will Resolve YES: if a new book in the series of "what if" by Randall Munroe is out by 2030, even if the book is named something other than "what if 3" but focuses on answering hypothetical questions
will Resolve NO: as long as he don't publish book with this focus will resolve no, even if he publishes books with different focus (such as "How to" or "thing explainer")

Books
Popular Science
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!


Sort by:

I'm not sure Randall Munroe will publish a What If 3 book before 2030, but I hope he does because his books are really fun and interesting. They make complex science easy to understand with a humorous twist. By the way, if anyone needs help with their own writing, like reports or assignments. I found https://essays.edubirdie.com/report-writing-services this great resource that offers a report writing service that can really save time and improve quality. It helps to balance the load better and now I have more time to read. But yeah, fingers crossed for another What If book!

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
ṀWhy use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.

Related questions

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules