https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/webdev
Resolves to the organization whose model tops the WebDev arena leaderboard on December 31st, 2025.
If this market resolved on February 3rd, 2025, it would resolve to "Anthropic":
See also:
/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-I0QsydsZuz
/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-0CRdhqptRl
/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-uIgZPlOt5d
/Bayesian/who-will-have-the-best-texttoimage-SO0uN6suuS
/Bayesian/who-will-have-the-best-texttovideo-AtZ0CdIc8Z
/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-computer
/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-vision-ai-en
/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-search-ai-mo
Update 2025-11-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The leaderboard URL has been updated to https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/webdev (migrated from the original web.lmarena.ai URL). This new URL will be used for resolution.
1,000People are also trading
@traders they've migrated to https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/webdev, so that will be used for resolution
New Gemini 2.5 Pro tops the leaderboard
Same question, different end date: https://manifold.markets/Soli/who-will-have-the-highest-ranking-m