Which company has best Text-to-Image AI model end of 2025? (Artificial Analysis Leaderboard)
14
1.4kṀ3106
Dec 31
26%
Google
21%
OpenAI
15%
Other
7%
Midjourney
7%
HiDream
6%
Black Forest Labs (FLUX)
4%
Ideogram
4%
Stability.ai
3%
DeepSeek
3%
Playground AI
3%
Amazon
2%
Blueberry

https://huggingface.co/spaces/ArtificialAnalysis/Text-to-Image-Leaderboard


Resolves to the lab/team that created the highest ELO model in the Text to Image Model Leaderboard by Artificial Analysis, at the end of 2025. It resolves according to whoever is the name at the the "CREATOR" column.

If the creator is temporarily anonymous, we will wait until the creator is revealed before resolving. If the creator of the best model at the end of 2025 remains anonymous for over 1 month past the close date, we will resolve to the company with the highest Elo non-anonymous model at the end of 2025.

Had the close date been September 27 2024, this market would have stayed closed until it was revealed a few days later that blueberry_0 was created by OpenAI, after which OpenAI would have resolved "YES" and all other options would have resolved "NO".

See also:

/Bayesian/who-will-have-the-best-texttovideo-AtZ0CdIc8Z

/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-computer

/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model

/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-vision-ai-en

/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-search-ai-mo

/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-I0QsydsZuz

/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-0CRdhqptRl

/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-uIgZPlOt5d

Technology
AI
Technical AI Timelines
Text-to-Image
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!


Sort by:
2mo

@traders I've edited the resolution criteria slightly to make the eventuality of an anonymous model topping the leaderboard suck less. LMK if you object strongly.

If the creator is temporarily anonymous, we will wait until the creator is revealed before resolving. If the creator of the best model at the end of 2025 remains anonymous for over 1 month past the close date, we will resolve to the company with the highest Elo non-anonymous model at the end of 2025.

Had the close date been September 27 2024, this market would have stayed closed until it was revealed a few days later that blueberry_0 was created by OpenAI, after which OpenAI would have resolved "YES" and all other options would have resolved "NO".

4mo

market description supposed to say 2024?

2mo

@ismellpillows sorry I missed this, fixed.

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
ṀWhy use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.

People are also trading

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy