MANIFOLD
Which company has best Text-to-Image AI model end of 2025? (Artificial Analysis Leaderboard)
28
แน€1.4kแน€8.1k
resolved Jan 1
100%82%
OpenAI
0.3%
Blueberry
0.5%
Black Forest Labs (FLUX)
0.4%
Ideogram
0.5%
Midjourney
0.4%
Stability.ai
0.4%
Playground AI
0.4%
Amazon
0.3%
DeepSeek
0.5%
HiDream
11%
Google
3%
ByteDance
0.9%Other

https://huggingface.co/spaces/ArtificialAnalysis/Text-to-Image-Leaderboard


Resolves to the lab/team that created the highest ELO model in the Text to Image Model Leaderboard by Artificial Analysis, at the end of 2025. It resolves according to whoever is the name at the the "CREATOR" column.

If the creator is temporarily anonymous, we will wait until the creator is revealed before resolving. If the creator of the best model at the end of 2025 remains anonymous for over 1 month past the close date, we will resolve to the company with the highest Elo non-anonymous model at the end of 2025.

Had the close date been September 27 2024, this market would have stayed closed until it was revealed a few days later that blueberry_0 was created by OpenAI, after which OpenAI would have resolved "YES" and all other options would have resolved "NO".

See also:

/Bayesian/who-will-have-the-best-texttovideo-AtZ0CdIc8Z

/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-computer

/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model

/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-vision-ai-en

/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-search-ai-mo

/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-I0QsydsZuz

/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-0CRdhqptRl

/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-uIgZPlOt5d

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gpt 1.5 is a signficantly worse model, but it's 50 point ahead. That variance probably isn't going to evaporate, unless google releases something again in 13 days.

bought แน€250 YES

openai at 2% 5 days ago is wild wow

@traders I've edited the resolution criteria slightly to make the eventuality of an anonymous model topping the leaderboard suck less. LMK if you object strongly.

If the creator is temporarily anonymous, we will wait until the creator is revealed before resolving. If the creator of the best model at the end of 2025 remains anonymous for over 1 month past the close date, we will resolve to the company with the highest Elo non-anonymous model at the end of 2025.

Had the close date been September 27 2024, this market would have stayed closed until it was revealed a few days later that blueberry_0 was created by OpenAI, after which OpenAI would have resolved "YES" and all other options would have resolved "NO".

market description supposed to say 2024?

@ismellpillows sorry I missed this, fixed.

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