Will artificial blood be used to treat a patient by the end of 2026? | Manifold

Will artificial blood be used to treat a patient by the end of 2026?

Technology•Science•Medicine

10

38

Ṁ393

Ṁ280

2027

19%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If by December 31st, 2026, artificial blood is used to treat a patient, in a way that is safe and effective, this market resolves YES.

Artificial blood is non-human blood that can replace human blood for the purpose of blood transfusions.

See also:

/Predictor/will-scientists-create-artificial-b
/Bayesian/will-artificial-blood-be-used-to-tr-6f2be97f35a3
/Bayesian/will-artificial-blood-be-used-to-tr-0810029e9d6b (This one)
/Bayesian/will-artificial-blood-be-used-to-tr
/Bayesian/will-artificial-blood-be-used-to-tr-8a49faf06658

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Does animal blood count as artificial?

What counts as artificial blood?

Artificial blood is non-human blood that can replace human blood for the purpose of blood transfusions.

Does that sound reasonable? I suppose i hadn't defined it precisely in my head

maybe predictor's definition is better

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