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MANIFOLD
Will artificial blood be used to treat a patient by the end of 2026?
22
Ṁ1kṀ5.1k
resolved Oct 7
Resolved
N/A

If by December 31st, 2026, artificial blood is used to treat a patient, in a way that is safe and effective, this market resolves YES.

Artificial blood is non-human blood that can replace human blood for the purpose of blood transfusions.

See also:

/Predictor/will-scientists-create-artificial-b
/Bayesian/will-artificial-blood-be-used-to-tr-6f2be97f35a3
/Bayesian/will-artificial-blood-be-used-to-tr-0810029e9d6b (This one)
/Bayesian/will-artificial-blood-be-used-to-tr
/Bayesian/will-artificial-blood-be-used-to-tr-8a49faf06658

  • Update 2026-10-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has announced they will resolve this market to N/A.

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bought Ṁ350 YES

What do you think about hemopure?

@spiderduckpig i'm not familiar

bought Ṁ250 YES

@Bayesian

It is an oxygen-carrying solution using cow hemoglobin, it has been used in the past to treat hemorrhage and anemia. Not fda-approved, but has been approved in Russia and SA and is approved as part of the FDA's EAP for life-saving intervention

https://consultqd.clevelandclinic.org/hemopure-saves-the-life-of-a-patient-with-severe-hemorrhage

@spiderduckpig I'll N/A this market cluade thinks it should have resolved YES before it wsa created and against Predictor's resolution which was the basis for this market's creation. soz @traders

Does animal blood count as artificial?

ok i take that back

i would like to use whatever standard meaning is used for artificial blood idk anything about this topic

What counts as artificial blood?

Artificial blood is non-human blood that can replace human blood for the purpose of blood transfusions.

Does that sound reasonable? I suppose i hadn't defined it precisely in my head

maybe predictor's definition is better