13
57
Ṁ268Ṁ270
2031
45%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will we be able to grow or 3d print livers outside of the human body?
If a whole liver grown outside of a human body is successfully transplanted into a human who lives for another year, resolves YES.
If nobody has had such a liver transplant before 2030, resolves NO.
If anyone recieves this transplant during 2030, resolves to YES if they live for at least one year.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will we have a reliable way of uploading people's minds onto computers by 2030?
18% chance
30 years from now, will the technology for replacing organs with one's own tissues be ubiquitous?
57% chance
Will we be able to grow kidneys by 2030
19% chance
Will I eat lab-grown meat by 2030?
87% chance
Will head transplant be possible before 2055
41% chance
Will there be a lab-grown hair transplant by 2030?
62% chance
Will we be able to clone a human being from a live sample of their DNA by 2040?
34% chance
Will there be a legal way to sell one's kidney in the United States by the end of 2032?
16% chance
Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2100?
41% chance
Will lab grown human kidneys be created before 2040?
55% chance