Which of these 10 things will GPT-5 do? (@flowersslop)
23
1kṀ1297Dec 31
50%
1. @flowersslop must prefer its output for any prompt at least 80% of the time vs GPT-4o. No exceptions.
25%
2. It must be able to create an acceptable Doodle Jump clone, end to end, no bugs or flaws, and it must look genuinely beautiful — at least 3 out of 5 tries.
36%
3. Image generation v2 must look at least as good as Midjourney v7, while being at least as intelligent as 4o imagegen. +1 Bonus if it’s uncensored.
40%
4. Avm must be way better. Sesame level minimum.
31%
5. Some kind of better personalization that isn’t just sloppy memory or static custom instructions. Something that actually feels personal and cool, like midjourney customization.
19%
6. Better or overhauled UI. Not just current ChatGPT with GPT-5 slapped in. @flowersslop wants it to feel new.
34%
7. Needs a new gimmick that’s cool or fun or useful. Something fresh. Like avatars, proactive texting, or anything novel that no other LLM provider is doing yet.
26%
8. Normal people who don’t care about AI must feel that GPT-5 is a lot better. @flowersslop wants to see demand explode.
31%
9. All features that make GPT-5 unique or cool must be available instantly via ChatGPT Plus. Only exception tolerated is a GPT-5 Pro
18%
10. It must not make any dumb, viral mistakes in week one. No 9.9–9.11, no “how many Rs in strawberry” type errors. Nothing memeably stupid.
See @Flowers ’s tweet:
If 0 to 3 of these are met, it’s terrible and I’ll say so publicly. AI was a bubble. AGI timelines get pushed back 3+ years.
If 4 to 6 things are met, it’s a slight disappointment, but im still happy, they are still on track.
If 7 or 8 things are met, then im really happy. It actually deserves to be called GPT-5. Solid work.
If 9 or 10 things are met, I’m really, really excited. This means AGI could actually be close. OpenAI proves it’s still number one without a doubt.
Resolves to Flowers’ judgement of which of these happened vs didnt happen when GPT-5 comes out. If I am not able to get access to Flowers’ judgement on these, they may resolve N/A or I may resolve them anyway if they are particularly unambiguous.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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