https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_2025
Project 2025 (officially the Presidential Transition Project) is a collection of policy proposals to reshape the executive branch of the U.S. federal government at an unprecedented scale in the event of a Republican victory in the 2024 U.S. presidential election.
[...]
The plan proposes slashing U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) funding, dismantling the FBI and the Department of Homeland Security, gutting environmental and climate change regulations to favor fossil fuel production, and eliminating the cabinet Departments of Education and Commerce.
If an option gets achieved before that by a Republican government in 2025, it resolves YES.
Otherwise, resolves NO at the end of 2025.
"Gutting" is operationalized as reducing 30%+ of the budget OR staff count.
@spider pyrylium is right, that’s a NO. I was considering a conditional market with N/A but went with this to quantify ‘whats the risk these things actually happen’