Resolution criteria

• Resolve YES if Thinking Machines Lab (TML) publicly releases a product before Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) by 23:59:59 UTC on December 31, 2029; resolve NO if SSI releases first by that deadline; resolve N/A if neither releases by then. Public timestamps determine precedence; if exact simultaneous release times cannot be distinguished, resolve N/A.

• “Product release” means any of: (a) a publicly accessible consumer app or web product; (b) an API/developer platform with public sign‑up or paid access (counts once external users beyond the company are admitted, not at waitlist announcement); (c) an open‑source release of runnable model weights or software with a versioned tag on a public repo; or (d) an App Store/Play Store listing. Excludes demos, research papers without runnable code/weights, private NDAs/pilots with a single customer, and fundraising/”we’re building” posts.

• Primary verification sources: official sites/announcements and product pages (TML: https://thinkingmachines.ai/; SSI: https://ssi.inc/), company GitHub/orgs, App Store/Play Store pages, or major tech press with explicit availability and timestamps (e.g., TechCrunch/Reuters). Screenshots, Archive.org, and store timestamp metadata may be used to adjudicate timing if needed. (thinkingmachines.ai, ssi.inc, techcrunch.com, reuters.com)

Background

• TML was founded in February 2025 by former OpenAI CTO Mira Murati; it has announced large early financing and high‑profile hires but, as of August 18, 2025, no public product. (techcrunch.com)

• SSI was founded in June 2024 by Ilya Sutskever (now CEO) with Daniel Levy and Daniel Gross; the company states its single focus is building “safe superintelligence” and has not announced consumer/commercial products to date. (ssi.inc, cnbc.com, techcrunch.com)

Considerations

• Public betas count once external users are actually admitted; a waitlist alone does not. Open‑weights model releases count if weights are downloadable with a version tag and license.

• If both organizations ship different “tiers” (e.g., research artifact vs. paid API), the first qualifying public release by either—per the criteria and timestamps above—governs resolution.