US government builds first AGI-level system?
15
1kṀ28602049
20%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will a project led by the US government build the first AIR-10 system, ie the first AI system that accelerates the rate of AI R&D progress tenfold?
A US government-led project means:
The US government decides when to start/stop developing the ai model
acquires the final model to deploy as it sees fit
More at https://peterwildeford.substack.com/p/should-the-us-do-a-manhattan-project
See source tweet:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2047?
87% chance
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
A government will build the first human-level AGI, assuming humans build one at all
24% chance
By when will we have AGI?
Will AI create the first AGI?
41% chance
Will we get AGI before 2044?
81% chance
Which company will create AGI first?
When will AGI be developed and released to the public?
Who first builds an Artificial General Intelligence?
Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?