This market hits 70% after 1-minute grace period? (round 3)
33
100Ṁ200k
Oct 31
71%
chance

Ignoring the 1 minute grace period at the start, will this market display a probability of 70% or less at any point before market close?

Rounds:

/Bayesian/this-market-hits-70-after-1minute-g

/Bayesian/this-market-hits-70-after-1minute-g-CAAPqldP6I

/Bayesian/this-market-hits-70-after-1minute-g-Cn56czpZRQ

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filled aṀ6,957NO at 71% order

@calour No shot

bro botted up

@Bayesian taking 4 day 50k loan at 50% interest if this resolves NO, otherwise 10%

edit: sign error

@calour Hmmmm that’s too much but id do 10k

shit is about to get real

Is this... a warning...

opened a Ṁ16,000 YES at 72% order

I'm just clicking buttons and having fun

@Mana bro is crashing out today

@121 I have decided to nuke my own Mana in order to practice non-attachment and achieve akrasia.

opened a Ṁ750 YES at 71% order

I caught you!

Wait nvm. I thought you were trying to trick us into thinking the market reached 70.

@traders I'm glad you're all having fun but I tire of this market style spamming the feed. I like fun and games and whalebait, but it's uncreative. We all make these when we are baby manifolders (see: one of my earliest markets), but we're not baby manifolders and this zeitgeist is wearing out its welcome. Consider all ye warned, if I see more after this in the next few weeks they're instantly going to the unlisted bucket.

@Stralor YES!!!

Enjoy the last hurrah! Make it big! 😏

I'm in agreement with this sentiment.

This market = giving @Bayesian free mana

opened a Ṁ5,000 YES at 71% order

@Bayesian perhaps these sizes are a bit excessive (to the point that you won't make a profit because the bigger numbers ring more bells for potential baitees)

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