This market hits 70% after 1-minute grace period? (round 1)
21
100Ṁ32k
resolved Oct 27
Resolved
YES

Ignoring the 1 minute grace period at the start, will this market be at or below 70% at any point before market close?


Rounds:

/Bayesian/this-market-hits-70-after-1minute-g

/Bayesian/this-market-hits-70-after-1minute-g-CAAPqldP6I

/Bayesian/this-market-hits-70-after-1minute-g-Cn56czpZRQ

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@traders see

opened a Ṁ750 YES at 99.0% order

Well I F'd that up

sold Ṁ0 NO

@robm You’re not alone, I messed up one of these too

sold Ṁ0 NO

@robm yep. ive done a self referential market miscalculation twice already.

but some times, I win 2k mana since I calculated it correctly.

bought Ṁ10 NO

see also

Um this only requires 8000 mana what

@Qoiuoiuoiu so do it then

@Bayesian Unfortunately myself being a wee little minnow, I have but 3800 mana to my name

EDIT: in liquidity, don't look at my net worth fr

filled a Ṁ300 YES at 96% order

Ah. I now understand. Hit requires going below

opened a Ṁ400 NO at 80% order

no hit requires touching it or crossing it

yeah, i was just confused why this hadn't already resolved yes (oops)

@Bayesian The AI summary totally fucked up interpreting this fyi

@AshDorsey thanks

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