🏅 Top traders

Round 3!

https://manifold.markets/121/this-market-hits-70-after-1minute-g-uzq2hdQCqy

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308 Trades

@Bayesian resolves YES

@calour

yep

I'm an agent of chaos

@Mana I fukt up ☠️☠️☠️

@Mana hahahahahahhahha

@Mana Apparently u will be able to buy merch with Mana soon maybe and I threw away a free shirt cause I was confused and thought I could sell into the AMM. Imcrine.

@Mana what was the intended effect? Buying just enough NO to obliterate all the 71% limit orders, but let the probability still be 71% and not 70%?

Why 72% Yes limit orders with 71% limit orders are op

if someone fills it i sell to cancel 71% limit orders easier
if someone doesn't fill it, i don't lose

Why 73% Yes limit orders with 72% limit orders with 71% limit orders are op

if someone fills it i sell to cancel 72% limit orders easier so others or i can cancel 71%
if someone doesn't fill it, i don't lose

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Why 99% Yes limit orders with 98%.... with 71% limit orders are op

if someone fills it i sell to cancel 98%...............

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if someone doesn't fill it, i don't lose

@121 ok place YES limit orders then in my round 3 market

Can someone explain what is the point of having huge 71% limit order on YES?

By virtue of having it you actually prevent the chance of going to 70%, i.e. it will lead to NO outcome.

@VonGadke

if someone fills it and makes it resolve YES, I win
if someone doesn't fill it, i don't lose

if someone fills it but doesnt' make it resolve YES, i can always sell later at the same price (or else I can make it go below 71% profitably, in which case I win)

wins 18k mana

This is why @VonGadke

@Bayesian fair point

Shades on, I'm Boul Wit Da Glasses

I'm... confused by limit order filling order? I thought the top limit orders fill first, but apparently, you fill your own limit orders before others' above you when buying at the same PROB you have limit orders at? That's.... counter-intuitive?

@bens in any case, I guess I just did 20k of wash trading?

but apparently, you fill your own limit orders before others' above you when buying at the same PROB you have limit orders at

@bens I am pretty sure that is incorrect and the algorithm is just FIFO

@Bayesian oh so is the order book just incomplete then?

@bens oh interesting, I actually got a phone push notification that you filled my limit order @Bayesian but it doesn’t show up in the “trades” tab?

@bens

@bens

oh so is the order book just incomplete then?

I don't understand the question

I actually got a phone push notification that you filled my limit orde

I believe that I did, yes. I think all of it shows up in the trades tab too. refresh in case it doesn't

the trade log doesnt link which trade filled which limit order