Next Anthropic Model tops Chatbot Leaderboard? (lmarena.ai)
62
1kṀ26kresolved Jun 2
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://lmarena.ai/?leaderboard
By arena score, when it first appears on the leaderboard (unless it doesn't appear there in the first month after release, in which case the market resolves N/A).
If they announce two models at once (for example, they release 3.8 opus and 3.8 sonnet at the same time or on the same day), then this market will consider the highest arena score of the models announced on that day.
Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The arena score will be determined using the default view on lmarena.ai, including its default filters and other default settings, as they are active when the model first appears on the leaderboard.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ4,393 | |
2 | Ṁ192 | |
3 | Ṁ146 | |
4 | Ṁ135 | |
5 | Ṁ66 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?
30% chance
Which company has best Search AI model end of 2025? (Search Arena Leaderboard)
Will Grok 3.5 Top the Chatbot Leaderboard?
4% chance
Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2026?
Will Grok 4 Top the Chatbot Leaderboard?
48% chance
Which company has best Computer Agent AI model end of 2025? (Computer Agent Arena Leaderboard)
Will a company other than OpenAI, xAI, and Google top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
27% chance
Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Will a chatbot from a Chinese company top the LMSYS leaderboard in 2025?
29% chance