Will Grok 3.5 Top the Chatbot Leaderboard?
31
1kแน€1646
May 30
45%
chance

https://lmarena.ai/?leaderboard

Resolves YES if Grok 3.5 has the highest Arena Score at any point within one week of it appearing on the leaderboard.

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opened a แน€300 YES at 43% order

Sure, every new bot tops the leaderboard. If it doesn't, they don't release it.

@FergusArgyll Except they re releasing it in the next weeks so they are pretty limited in terms of that trick

@Bayesian In the literal sense maybe, metaphorically, they A/B test 30 different system prompts / fine tunes and only release the one that does. Of course they can simply not have the goods, but it's good enough for 43%

@FergusArgyll Plausibly!

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