@Bayesian i see 54% on manifold at 12:00 EST

@vibhav i saw exactly 50%. hmmmm

@Bayesian it shows 50 on the regular market and 54 on sweepstakes. you linked the sweepstakes market in the option. not sure which you wanna use.

@vibhav ah, if the sweepstakes option was at 54 then it would resolve YES! good point, i'll doublecheck

you are right, thanks for pointing that out.

@Bayesian based on odds midnight Nov 5 EST?

@Kraalnaxx Odds in a minute yeah

@Bayesian YES on Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt I think. Don't know how you'll deal w/ Manifold.

Should I add metaculus even though it's not a prediction market? Hmmm

Also feel free to propose other PMs