Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
DeepMind beats OpenAI in the IMO 2025? (tie resolves NO)
28
Ṁ100Ṁ2.5k
resolved Jul 29
Resolved
NO

  • Update 2025-07-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Following a discussion about a potential tie, the creator has confirmed the market will resolve to NO in such a scenario, rescinding a previously considered N/A or partial resolution.

  • Update 2025-07-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has confirmed that if no official IMO grading is available, the market may resolve based on self-reported scores from the companies (e.g., from internal graders), if that is the best data available.

Market context
Technology
AI
Technical AI Timelines
OpenAI
IMO Grand Challenge
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ225
2Ṁ22
3Ṁ21
4Ṁ21
5Ṁ18

People are also trading

Sort by:

OpenAI at least has not been graded by the IMO though, so how do you want to evaluate this? Use OpenAI's word (or rather their internal graders) for it?

@AndreasKirsch Yea, if that’s the best we get

um..

boughtṀ100NO

oh wait i just realized, i intended it to N/A or 50% or wtv if they tie to avoid biasedness, were you betting based on a tie?

opened a Ṁ250 NO at 52% order

@Bayesian 😩

nah it's ok i'll lose the mana

People are also trading