What will be the highest effective US tariff rate on China by EOY 2025?
11
200Ṁ775Dec 31
1%
104% (No higher than question creation)
3%
105%-125%
78%
125%-150%
6%
150%-200%
3%
200%-300%
3%
300%-1000%
3%
1000%-9000%
4%
Over 9000% OR Embargo/War
This resolves to the bin that contains the highest effective tariff rate on goods coming from China. This tariff rate considered for this market will be the general rate on all goods, not specific goods (currently 104%). If the final top rate is exactly at the intersection of one bucket and another one, the higher bucket will be chosen. I reserve the right to resolve edge cases.
Update 2025-04-27 (PST): - Highest effective tariff rate refers to the maximum rate reached at any point between now and the end of 2025. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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