What will be the highest effective US tariff rate on China by EOY 2025?
15
200Ṁ1179Dec 31
0.9%
104% (No higher than question creation)
3%
105%-125%
73%
125%-150%
5%
150%-200%
3%
200%-300%
3%
300%-1000%
2%
1000%-9000%
10%
Over 9000% OR Embargo/War
This resolves to the bin that contains the highest effective tariff rate on goods coming from China. This tariff rate considered for this market will be the general rate on all goods, not specific goods (currently 104%). If the final top rate is exactly at the intersection of one bucket and another one, the higher bucket will be chosen. I reserve the right to resolve edge cases.
Update 2025-04-27 (PST): - Highest effective tariff rate refers to the maximum rate reached at any point between now and the end of 2025. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
When will the US tariffs on China first drop to ≤50% again for a month?
How high will the US tariff rate get in 2025?
US tariff rate on Chinese goods at end of 2025?
40.3
US effective tariff rate in Q4 2025?
12.8
Tariffs on China by EOY?
41.6
What will average US tariffs be at the start of 2026?
12.3
Will US tariffs be higher in 2025 than 2024?
99% chance
US tariffs on Chinese imports on January 1, 2026?
Which tariffs will Trump introduce in 2025?
What will happen by the end of 2025 under President Trump's tariff policies?