US average effective tariff rate at the end of October 2026
9
Ṁ125Ṁ52Oct 30
10.8 percent
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
14%
Less than 7.0%
43%
7.0% – 10.9%
30%
11.0% – 14.9%
13%
15.0% or more
Resolution criterion
This market will resolve to the pre-substitution average effective tariff rate imposed by the United States on 31 October 2026, according to the first 'State of US Tariffs' report published by The Budget Lab on or after that date.
Clarifications
As the resolution of this market is unlikely to be subjective, I may trade in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
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