The question will be considered resolved positively if there is a significant and involuntary change in the government of a country due to internal political upheaval, external military intervention, or other unforeseen circumstances, as confirmed by credible sources such as news organizations or official government statements, after July 10 before September 1. Examples of such changes may include a military coup, political impeachment, a popular uprising, or a foreign invasion that results in the overthrow or dissolution of the government.

The question will also be considered resolved positively if a sitting prime minister or president dissolves the government and calls for new elections due to internal political upheaval or other unforeseen circumstances, as confirmed by credible sources such as news organizations or official government statements, after July 10 before September 1.

The question will be considered resolved negatively if there is no significant and involuntary change in the government of any country due to internal political upheaval, external military intervention, or other unforeseen circumstances between July 10 and September 1. If there are minor changes, such as a reshuffle of cabinet members or a change in prime minister or president that does not result in a significant change in government policy or structure, the question will still be considered resolved negatively.

See the May and June iterations of this market below for detailed conversation about many different scenarios and how they would resolve. Please propose any hypotheticals for clarification in the conclusion, but ground them in a reference to a real world event related to the potential resolution of this market and not things like "what if the AI takes over the government". This market has proven to produce fun and engaging conversations about political volatility and government stability. Please be kind to each other!