Will Joe Biden issue more than 175 Executive Orders during his first term?
➕
Plus
41
Ṁ2904
Jan 20
33%
chance

Resolves based on data found here: https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/statistics/data/executive-orders

104 as of November 13, 2022.

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I think this will likely be NO if Biden (or a Democrat) win the election, but very likely YES if Trump wins (and maybe even money if a non-Trump Republican wins, though Manifold thinks that is unlikely).

Of course, I doubt there is much value to signing end-of-term EOs when the next administration can just undo them, even if recent history indicates that's what happens. I guess it's mostly signalling/trolling with maybe a small hope that one or two of them stick.

130 as of January 17, 2024

116 as of July 3, 2023. Seems to be slowing down.

predicts NO

@BTE Last 4 administration EOs by quarter--both Obama and Trump had a frenzy at end of term, so hard to extrapolate, though I'm still on team NO

Will Joe Biden issue more than 175 Executive Orders during his first term?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

@ManifoldDream It's wild that there's so many pictures of Biden making the exact same face that it can manage to draw him accurately.

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