Resolves based on data found here: https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/statistics/data/executive-orders
104 as of November 13, 2022.
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| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน299 | |
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I think this will likely be NO if Biden (or a Democrat) win the election, but very likely YES if Trump wins (and maybe even money if a non-Trump Republican wins, though Manifold thinks that is unlikely).
Of course, I doubt there is much value to signing end-of-term EOs when the next administration can just undo them, even if recent history indicates that's what happens. I guess it's mostly signalling/trolling with maybe a small hope that one or two of them stick.
@BTE Last 4 administration EOs by quarter--both Obama and Trump had a frenzy at end of term, so hard to extrapolate, though I'm still on team NO
@ManifoldDream It's wild that there's so many pictures of Biden making the exact same face that it can manage to draw him accurately.