Joe Biden's future is unclear,
Will he run again or disappear?
But my gut feeling is quite sincere,
He'll make his intentions clear.
Good discussion about this on Star Spangled Gamblers around 26:44-36:15: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/when-will-biden-announce-his-re-election-bid/id1437934639?i=1000602215514
Why people so bearish on this timeline? All Joe has to do is send an email from the WH basement and then get ready for his massive rallies of up to 8 people
Arb: this is the same market as https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/will-joe-biden-announce-whether-hes-720e70d023e1
Technically he could announce that he's definitely not running, so actually this should just be strictly higher
Err, "strictly lower", whoops
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/ap-interview-biden-ready-to-run-first-lady-jill-biden-says/ He's getting close