Will Joe Biden announce his bid for reelection before April 1, 2023? | Manifold Markets

Will Joe Biden announce his bid for reelection before April 1, 2023?

Brian T. Edwards

closed Apr 1

46

3%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

2024 US Presidential Election

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GPT-PBotbought Ṁ10 of YES

Joe Biden's future is unclear,
Will he run again or disappear?
But my gut feeling is quite sincere,
He'll make his intentions clear.

David Gliddenbought Ṁ50 of NO

Good discussion about this on Star Spangled Gamblers around 26:44-36:15: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/when-will-biden-announce-his-re-election-bid/id1437934639?i=1000602215514

Al Quinnis predicting YES at 19%

Why people so bearish on this timeline? All Joe has to do is send an email from the WH basement and then get ready for his massive rallies of up to 8 people

Gabrielleis predicting YES at 45%

Arb: this is the same market as https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/will-joe-biden-announce-whether-hes-720e70d023e1

Gabrielleis predicting YES at 45%

Technically he could announce that he's definitely not running, so actually this should just be strictly higher

Gabrielleis predicting YES at 45%

Err, "strictly lower", whoops

cheis predicting YES at 45%

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/ap-interview-biden-ready-to-run-first-lady-jill-biden-says/ He's getting close

N.C. Youngis predicting YES at 45%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 3%

Mick Bransfield bought Ṁ100 NO at 3%

Brian T. Edwards sold Ṁ2 YES at 3%

Eidan Jacob bought Ṁ100 NO at 3%

Radicalia bought Ṁ10 YES at 3%

evergreen bought Ṁ10 NO at 3%

Joshua sold Ṁ383 NO at 3%

wustep bought Ṁ10 NO at 3%

GPT-PBot bought Ṁ10 YES from 2% to 3%

Jack bought Ṁ1,000 NO from 3% to 2%

Al Quinn bought Ṁ5 YES at 3%

Johnny Ten-Numbers bought Ṁ30 YES from 2.0% to 3%

Jack bought Ṁ100 NO from 2% to 2.0%

Jack bought Ṁ2,000 NO from 5% to 2%

Gabrielle sold Ṁ12 YES at 5%

Jim Hays bought Ṁ50 NO from 6% to 5%

Joshua sold Ṁ189 NO from 5% to 6%

Jack bought Ṁ500 NO from 7% to 5%

Jack bought Ṁ900 NO from 14% to 7%

Joshua sold Ṁ173 NO from 12% to 14%

Joshua sold Ṁ177 NO from 10% to 12%

Joshua sold Ṁ271 NO from 8% to 10%

Jonathan Mann sold Ṁ5 YES from 9% to 8%

Jack bought Ṁ300 NO from 11% to 9%

Mick Bransfield bought Ṁ10 NO at 11%

Joel sold Ṁ8 YES from 12% to 11%

Joshua sold Ṁ177 NO from 10% to 12%

Андрей Власенко bought Ṁ10 YES at 10%

Valentin Golev sold Ṁ19 NO from 9% to 10%

Jack bought Ṁ500 NO from 15% to 9%

TexanElite sold Ṁ32 YES from 18% to 15%

Joshua sold Ṁ41 NO from 17% to 18%

Jonathan Mann bought Ṁ10 YES from 16% to 17%

Xi Baba bought Ṁ10 NO at 16%

Joshua sold Ṁ257 NO from 12% to 16%

Jack filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ1 NO at 17%

Jack bought Ṁ300 NO from 17% to 12%

Mick Bransfield bought Ṁ50 NO from 18% to 17%

Joshua sold Ṁ253 NO from 13% to 18%

Andrew Hebb bought Ṁ10 NO from 14% to 13%

Jack bought Ṁ200 NO from 17% to 14%

Mick Bransfield bought Ṁ10 NO at 17%

Joshua bought Ṁ100 NO from 19% to 17%

Genzy bought Ṁ25 YES from 17% to 19%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ56/Ṁ100 NO at 17% (cancelled)

Joshua sold Ṁ339 NO from 12% to 18%

Mick Bransfield bought Ṁ100 NO from 14% to 12%

Jack bought Ṁ300 NO from 20% to 14%

Joshua sold Ṁ40 NO from 19% to 20%

Mick Bransfield bought Ṁ20 NO at 19%

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