Will Joe Biden announce whether he's running for President by 2023-04-01?
2024 US Presidential Election
29
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Ṁ570
resolved Apr 2
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NO

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bought Ṁ40 of YES

Arb: this is the same market as https://manifold.markets/BTE/will-joe-biden-announce-his-bid-for

predicted YES

Technically he could announce that he's definitely not running, so actually this should just be strictly higher

bought Ṁ5 of NO

Low but nonzero value context: Clinton announced in April 1995, Bush announced in May 2003, Obama in April 2011, and Trump in June 2019.

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