Will Israel annex North Gaza by the end of 2023?
64
1kṀ13k
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ165
2Ṁ155
3Ṁ97
4Ṁ52
5Ṁ43
Sort by:

I assume that "annex" means that North Gaza gets a status similar to Golan Heights, by Israeli law?

At 17% it's free Mana prediction. There is like 5% support in the public & parlament for such a move even if it was feasible from international relation perspective.

@BTE How will you judge ”permanently” ?

predictedYES

@Tyler31 I was just thinking that word isn’t really even useful because annexation is one of those things that is by definition intended to be permanent. Anything short of annexation is just an occupation. I think I might just drop “permanently” from these questions. Any objections??

@BTE I don’t have much perspective, but that sounds reasonable to me.

and are you saying if it’s ambiguous (eg territory is occupied but no official declarations of annexation) then that would resolve NO?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules