Will George Santos be sworn in with his colleagues as a member of Congress?
Basic
26
Ṁ4706
resolved Jan 7
Resolved
YES

He has now fully admitted he lied about his entire background, but says he still intends to take the oath in DC next week. Kevin McCarthy is probably counting on his vote for Speaker. This market resolves YES if Santos is sworn in as scheduled with his colleagues in the House. If there is any delay to Santos taking his seat this market will resolve NO.

Close date updated to 2023-01-06 11:59 pm

Close date updated to 2023-01-13 11:59 pm

Jan 6, 9:50am: Will George Santos be sworn in as a member of Congress next week? → Will George Santos be sworn in with his colleagues as a member of Congress?

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predicted YES

Man, I got incredibly lucky on this market. Not sure I'll ever see this kind of profit again

Believe this can be resolved at this point, everyone got sworn in

predicted YES

I wish the comments directed at you were bunched in the notifications. Sometimes they get buried and I never see them.

predicted NO

I still am unsure how you intend to resolve this market, can you clarify?

What does "as scheduled" mean? What about the "next week" in the title?

I have a market here that is specifically about whether he is sworn in at the same time as the rest of the House: https://manifold.markets/jack/will-george-santoss-swearingin-be-d

predicted YES

@jack

This market resolves YES if Santos is sworn in as scheduled with his colleagues in the House.

So yes, as stated it means sworn in as scheduled. Unless he is delayed and not sworn in with everyone else this resolves YES. The title is a bit confusing, sorry about that, but I think the description is very clear. Will update the title.

predicted YES

@jack He has to be delayed specially or singled out. Normal process reaolves YES. This market is unrelated to the speaker mess.

predicted YES

@jack "As scheduled" = "with the rest of the house".

Nice

predicted YES

it was at 69

What's with this weird YES spike? People should buy more NO without reading the description. Don't wait!!! It's free money!

predicted YES

@ForrestTaylor 💀💀💀

predicted YES

@TexanElite happens to the best of us

Got completely fooled by the title, @BTE could you rename it to something more accurate?

predicted YES

@TexanElite Really sorry about that. I have updated it.

What's the deadline for this? End of the week, or end of Jan 3?

Because I wasn't sure, I created this market:

predicted YES

@jack This happened already.

predicted YES

@jack Actually I take that back.

@BTE Nobody is sworn in until after the speaker is elected

If there is any delay to Santos taking his seat this market will resolve NO.

A better title then would be "as scheduled next week."

predicted YES

@brp This was intended to indicate any delay exclusive of the other members. So the ongoing speaker nonsense doesn't count because everyone is delayed not just Santos.

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