He has now fully admitted he lied about his entire background, but says he still intends to take the oath in DC next week. Kevin McCarthy is probably counting on his vote for Speaker. This market resolves YES if Santos is sworn in as scheduled with his colleagues in the House. If there is any delay to Santos taking his seat this market will resolve NO.
Close date updated to 2023-01-06 11:59 pm
Close date updated to 2023-01-13 11:59 pm
Jan 6, 9:50am: Will George Santos be sworn in as a member of Congress next week? → Will George Santos be sworn in with his colleagues as a member of Congress?
1,000
3.00I still am unsure how you intend to resolve this market, can you clarify?
What does "as scheduled" mean? What about the "next week" in the title?
I have a market here that is specifically about whether he is sworn in at the same time as the rest of the House: https://manifold.markets/jack/will-george-santoss-swearingin-be-d
This market resolves YES if Santos is sworn in as scheduled with his colleagues in the House.
So yes, as stated it means sworn in as scheduled. Unless he is delayed and not sworn in with everyone else this resolves YES. The title is a bit confusing, sorry about that, but I think the description is very clear. Will update the title.
@jack He has to be delayed specially or singled out. Normal process reaolves YES. This market is unrelated to the speaker mess.
@brp This was intended to indicate any delay exclusive of the other members. So the ongoing speaker nonsense doesn't count because everyone is delayed not just Santos.