
Will China initiate an offensive military operation against Taiwan by the end of April?
33
Ṁ650Ṁ9kresolved May 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
There are only two months of the year when the tides make a landing on Taiwan possible, April and October. Xi Jinping just assumed absolute control of China for the first time since Mao died in 1976. We should all be asking ourselves "what would Mao do in Xi position today?"
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ73 | |
| 2 | Ṁ41 | |
| 3 | Ṁ34 | |
| 4 | Ṁ19 | |
| 5 | Ṁ14 |
People are also trading
Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?
15% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026?
7% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by year's end?
8% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2028?
29% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2027?
24% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2029?
38% chance
In what month will China invade Taiwan?
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?
15% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026?
7% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by year's end?
8% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2028?
29% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2027?
24% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2029?
38% chance
In what month will China invade Taiwan?