Will China initiate an offensive military operation against Taiwan by the end of April? | Manifold Markets

Brian T. Edwards

closes May 1

Who does Xi think he is?

Will China initiate an offensive military operation against Taiwan by the end of April?

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There are only two months of the year when the tides make a landing on Taiwan possible, April and October. Xi Jinping just assumed absolute control of China for the first time since Mao died in 1976. We should all be asking ourselves "what would Mao do in Xi position today?"

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No, it will be 2027 as they planned.

Brian T. Edwardssold Ṁ70 of NO

Starting an invasion now might force us to choose between Ukraine and Taiwan. Might not get anything but harder going forward too. No more institutional resistance for Xi might mean it's go time? I am feeling much different than I did even a few weeks ago.

@BTE Nah, nothing like that could possibly happen here.

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