Will Armenia and Azerbaijan have a full-scale war in 2023?
closes Dec 31

Resolves YES if at any point during 2023 Armenia and Azerbaijan exchange military fire for a period of two consecutive weeks OR resulting in 100 cumulative casualties.

Sort by:
BTE avatar
Brian T. Edwardsbought Ṁ100 of YES

On Tuesday there were "countless dead" following a border shootout between Azerbaijan and Armenia.

L avatar
Lbought Ṁ10 of YES

My understanding is that Azerbaijan has a large contingent who have been rooting for a war? this is via an Armenian friend.

BTE avatar
Brian T. Edwardsis predicting YES at 63%

@L My partner was in Yerevan this summer and came back with lots of stories about the contentious history. I could see this escalating into a full scale war basically anytime.

ManifoldDream avatar

Will Armenia and Azerbaijan have a full-scale war in 2023?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

Related markets

Will Nagorno-Karabakh secede from Azerbaijan under a claim of self-determination and declare formal alliance with Armenia by the end of 2023?23%
Will a demilitarized zone be implemented around Nagorno-Karabakh by Armenia and Azerbaijan by the end of 2023?27%
Will the US formally suspend military aid to Azerbaijan in favor of supporting Armenia by the end of 2023?39%
Will Armenia leave the CSTO in 2023?41%
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end during 2023?11%
Will Russia declare war on Ukraine in 2023?9%
Will there be a deadly military conflict between Russian and NATO armed forces in 2023?4%
Will there be a second Russia-Georgia war by 2030?14%
Will the Russia Ukraine war end by 2023?11%
Will Armenia withdraw from the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) by the end of 2023?34%
Will the Ukraine war be over by the end of 2023?11%
Will there be peace talks between Russia and Ukraine in 2023?17%
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before the end of Jun 2023?2%
Will there be a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine during 2023?8%
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end by 2024?13%
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end during 2024?25%
Will a new war start in a post-Soviet country by 2024?30%
Will Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan engage in fighting with at least 1000 cumulative battle deaths by July 2023?4%
Will the Ukraine war continue through August of 2023 without an armistice or peace agreement?90%
5. Will there be a lasting cease-fire in the Russia-Ukraine war in 2023?13%